On the early detecting of the COVID-19 outbreak
Keywords:
Public health, COVID-19, monitoring, detection method, MEM, CUSUM
Abstract
Introduction: This paper aims to measure the performance of early detection methods, which are usually used for infectious diseases.
Methodology: By using real data of confirmed Coronavirus cases from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Italy, the moving epidemic method (MEM) and the moving average cumulative sums (Mov. Avg Cusum) methods are used in our simulation study.
Results: Our results suggested that the CUSUM method outperforms the MEM in detecting the start of the Coronavirus outbreak.
Published
2021-11-30
How to Cite
1.
Aba OudM, Almuqrin M (2021) On the early detecting of the COVID-19 outbreak. J Infect Dev Ctries 15:1625-1629. doi: 10.3855/jidc.13914
Section
Coronavirus Pandemic
Copyright (c) 2021 Mohammed Aba Oud, Muqrin Almuqrin
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